Once is a mistake twice is a habit three times

I wondered when the saying “Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is–” (this varies) was initially used. The Web will tell you it’s in the James Bond novel, Goldfinger (1959), in the create “Once is happenstance, twice is coincidence, the 3rd time it’s opponent action”, and that is no doubt what popularised it. This site goes better by mentioning it shows up in print in the 1920s. However, if you store reading down, you’ll discover a quote from the New York Sun, from 7 May 1905:“Violets always expect guy,” shelp one girl to one more in a Broadmethod florist’s recently: “If a girl wears violets once it may be an accident; twice, coincidence; after that it indicates a male.”

A bit closer to house, it transforms up again on the 2 months later in the Melbourne Argus, in a report on a footsphere game between Fitzroy and St Kilda:

When that type of thing happens when it is an accident when it happens twice, it is an accident as soon as it happens three times, the player demands to be warned that Fitzroy does not play that sort of footsphere.

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So twice can be a coincidence, however the exact same concept & comparable wording appearing in various newsdocuments in different contexts within weeks of each other says another earlier resource.

To come forward a small little bit to 1911, and also a line in the Darling Downs Gazette confirms “Once is an accident” has made its method right into day-to-day conversation:

To this kind of thing we feel justified in reasoning via the judge who, once adjudicating over a details instance, said that the incident happening as soon as might be an accident, twice might be a coincidence, but three times looked prefer a halittle bit.

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Prior to 1905 though? The year before, a Bathurst newspaper provides a quote from a deceased resident: If a male takes me in as soon as, that’s an accident; if he fools me twice, that is my fault, however that type of thing doesn’t occur frequently.

Which is a paraphrasing of “Fool me once, shame on me; fool me twice, shame on me” the origins of which seem to be have been shed in time. (That is, it’s a really old an old saying.) A mixing of two sayings or a mixing of the older saying with somepoint he’d heard even more recently?

I can’t find any kind of earlier event of the “when is an accident” concept, or the once/twice/3 times format. Once/twice occurs a few times, the finest recognized one being from Osauto Wilde’s The Importance of Being Earnet (1895):

To shed one parent, Mr. Worpoint, may be pertained to as a misfortune; to lose both looks prefer carelessness.

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And the 1880s gives:

When Lord Melbourne was continuing to be at Nuncham, his organize, Archbishop Vernon-Harcourt, asked him to concerned evening company, be having actually already attended church in the morning. “No, my lord,” was the reply. “Once is orthodox, twice is Puritanical.” The Australasian, 6 November 1886

Many Frenchguys think that a guy who marries when is a fool, while a guy that marries twice is mad outright. Northern Territory Times, 17 April 1886

So, was tright here a book or song or play in the 1900s that used the line, perhaps a riff on the Importance of Being Earnest? A popular saying never committed to print until 1905? Random civilization concurrently coming up via a comparable saying for no noticeable reason? Shall we ever know?

(Image: random photo that has nopoint to execute through content, with a “ghost car”. The white line is auto headlights on an extremely slow shutter rate. Night time photograph is fun